Public registry of all trade ideas surfaced on this site. Each idea links back to the analytical note that motivated it. P&L is marked-to-market every 30 minutes for liquid instruments.
| Instrument | Thesis | Entry zone | Target zone | Invalidation | Spot | Chart | P&L | Opened / Horizon |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AUD/USD short | Cross-currency basis at March 2020 levels + no Fed swap lines = AUD/USD exposure to sustained USD funding stress Cross-Currency Basis At March 2020 Levels; No Swap Lines, No Consensus | 0.6420–0.6510 | 0.6080–0.6200 | 0.6680 | 0.7016 | -8.52% | 03 May 2026 90d |
| Instrument | Thesis | Entry zone | Target zone | Invalidation | Spot | Chart | P&L | Opened / Horizon |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
USD/JPY long | Asian-session USD basis at March 2020 levels signals structural dollar funding stress; long basis from USD-payer perspective captures the asymmetric compression trade. Dollar Repo Stress in Asian Hours: Consensus Shrugs, Tape Reads Otherwise | -0.5500–-0.4000 | -0.2000–0.0000 | -0.2500 | 161.2750 | 0.00% | 04 May 2026 180d |
Methodology note: Trade ideas are hypothetical structures expressing analytical theses, not investment recommendations. P&L is marked-to-market against the entry zone midpoint at endorsement time. Closed positions are marked at the exit price recorded by the cron at status transition. See /methodology for the full editorial process.